Monday, September 26, 2011

"SCHLICHT UND EINFACH DIE AERMEL HOCHZUKREMPELN"

An Assessment of Putin's Policy From a European Viewpoint.
Оценка политики Путина с европейской точки зрения
Una valutazione delle politiche di Putin dal punto di vista europeo
Une évaluation des politiques de Poutine d'un point de vue européen.
Eine Bewertung von Putins Politik aus einem europaeischen Gesichtspunkt
 


The twofold candidature, of Putin and Medvedev, to the roles of President of the Russian Federation and of Prime Minister does not arrive unexpected . It had been hinted since the beginning that this would have been the case after the expiration of Mr. Medvedev's first mandate.

However, a lot of speculation had arisen on whether this would have happened, and this is one of the reasons why the political and economic forecasts of Russia in the last period have been so uncertain, notwithstanding the fact that Russia belongs in the BRICS.

Feelings in the Western press were, and are, split. From the one side, there is an ideological reflex, according to which everything which comes out of Russia, and, especially, from Putin, is always negative, and, from the other side, there is the growing consciousness that stability and prosperity worldwide are indivisible, and that, hence, the first thing to preserve is   confidence in a solid political will to effectively manage  one's country.

An economic-driven society like ours may have its own philosophical, political and geopolitical, preferences, but the problem number one is that an unexpected uncertainty must not jeopardize the  world's economy. We can see, day after day, that the slightest doubt about the stability of a Government is apt to disrupt the financial markets worldwide for months.

So, paradoxically, Obama, who, like all precedent American Presidents, had always ignored the European Union, is now urging Europe to undertake a more stringent role in governing its economy, and, at the same time, nobody thinks of destabilizing Syria in the middle of a worldwide crisis.

And, indeed, even Russia's economy is following the negative trends of worlwide economy: Both the Ruble and the MICEX, the Russian Stocks index, are at a historical minimum.

This more realistic trend due to the urgency of economic problems has to be welcome. It helps softening unnecessary ideologic prejudices.

We do not examine the merits of many westerners' critics to Russia in general and to Putin in particular. What is remarkable is that all observators have recalled in these days all the objective achievements of Putin's Presidency and premiership: stopping the disgregation of the Federation and the grabbing, by oligarchs, of Russia's resources, economic boom, the reorganisation of the State, and a renewed Russian identity.
What we are more interested in is a specific characteristic of Putin: his strong feeling to belong to Europe, which is comparable just to the one of a small group of Russia's prominents (such as Sokurov, Tretjakov or  Rogozin), but is still more marked. In fact, whilst, normally, the most "European" of the Russian leaders still think of Russia as a Nineteenth Century "nation-state", which can cooperate with Europe, but will not merge with it, Putin has expressed in several occasions a strong European sentiment.

For instance, when he has written, for the 50th anniversary of the Rome Treaties, on the newspaper "La Stampa" of Torino, that he, as a citizen of Sankt-Petersburg, considers himself unconditionally as a European, and  that he evaluates the European Union as the most precious achievement of the XXth Century. For instance, when he has said in German in front of the Association of German Management, and repeated in the Sueddeutsche Zeitung, that he wishes to unify Europe in the same way as Chancelor Kohl has unified Germany.
Not only. At that occasion, he even strongly urged Germans to put themselves immediately at work ("schlicht und einfach die Aermel hochzukrempeln").

We  wonder which other politician in Europe has ever said something similar.




Friday, September 16, 2011

TWO VICTORIES AND ONE DEFEAT?


North Stram, South Stream,AMD
Северный поток,Южный поток ,НПРО
North Stream, South Stream, Difesa antimissile
North Stream, South Stream, Défence anti-ballistique
North Stream, South Stream, Anti-ballistisches 
Abwehr




Our assumption that presently there is no event which does not imply at the same time both Western and Eastern Europe is confirmed by the fact that things affecting the mutual interrelationships between the two parts of Europe are so numerous, that it is impossible to maintain updated information about all of them. This week, we have experienced three of these events, which show this growing interrelationship.

1. North Stream

Gazprom has  started supplying technological gas via Nord Stream last week, with customer supplies planned for October -November 2011.
­Speaking at a United Russia conference in Cherepovets, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said the first phase of the pipeline, which will carry gas from Russia to Germany via the Baltic Sea bed, is already complete.
The 1,220 kilometre Nord Stream pipeline will deliver gas directly from Russia’s Vyborg  to Germany’s Greifswald  across the  Baltic Sea, with the two lines of the system each able to ship 27.5 bcm a year. Completion of the second line in, Autumn 2012, will increase gas supplies to Europe to 55 bcm a year, with Gazprom having already signed long term contracts on gas deliveries with several EU countries including Germany, Denmark, Netherlands, Belgium, France and Great Britain.

Nord Stream (former names: North Transgas and North European Gas Pipeline;Северный поток (Severnyy potok), Nordeuropäische Gasleitung) is an offshore natural gas pipeline from Vyborg in Russia to Greifswald in Germany. It is owned and oprated by Nord Stream AG. The name occasionally has a wider meaning, including the feeding onshore pipeline in Russia, and further connections in Western Europe.
The project, which was promoted by the government of Russia and agreed to by Gerhard Schröder's government of Germany, was seen as controversial for various reasons, including increasing European energy dependence on Russia and potential environmental damage.
The project includes two parallel lines. The first line of the pipeline was laid by May 2011 and it is  operational . The second line to be laid in 2011–2012. It is the longest sub-sea pipeline in the world surpassing the Langeled pipeline.



2.South Stream 

Bloomberg informs that: 
"Electricite de France SA and BASF SE joined OAO Gazprom's planned South Stream natural-gas export pipeline to raise the project's appeal as the European Union promotes a rival project to cut dependence on Russian fuel.
EDF and BASF's Wintershall unit each gained 15 percent stakes in the pipeline, to be built across the Black Sea, under an agreement signed today in Sochi, Russia. Eni SpA's share will drop to 20 percent, and Gazprom will retain 50 percent."
"The arrangement again confirms the pan-European nature of this major energy infrastructure project," the South Stream venture said today in a statement.
Russia seeks to deliver as much as 63 billion cubic meters of gas a year via South Stream, the country's second direct link to the EU, bypassing Ukraine and other transit nations. The EU, which relies on Gazprom for about a quarter of its gas, backs the Nabucco project from the Caspian region.
South Stream will run 900 kilometers (560 miles) under the sea to the Balkans and may cost 15.5 billion euros ($21.4 billion), including the onshore section in southern and central Europe. Gazprom aims to start supplies by the end of 2015.(Bloomberg, 16 September)

The new pipelines are not in conflict with other prospective projects, like Nabucco, which is parallel to South Stream, but goes by land, over Turkey. For this reason, the suspect of an excessive dependence of Europe from Russian gas supplies results not to be well grounded. In fact, Europe has, and still will have, several alternatives for the supply of gas. By the way, a large quantity of gas comes to Europe from north Africa and the Middle East, whose future, in the next few years, is not easy to forecast.


3.AMD

According to Russia Today (14 September), "NATO plans for a phased deployment of a European anti-missile defense system are moving forward, with Turkey and Romania having signed deals to host crucial elements of the system.
The US and Turkey signed a memorandum on Wednesday on the deployment of an American radar station in the east of the country as part of the NATO-backed missile defense system (AMD).

The AN/TPY-2 THAAD radar will be deployed in the southeastern Turkish province of Malatya by the end of the year. It will later become part of the anti-ballistic missile system which the US and NATO are building to protect Europe, pposedly from missile attacks by rogue states.

The news comes just a day after Romania agreed to a deal with Washington under which land-based SM3 interceptor missiles and over 100 military personnel will be based on Romanian soil. The deal also includes the deployment of American Navy cruisers with naval versions of the interceptors along the Romanian coast.

The project has caused concern in Russia, which believes the system may be targeted against its nuclear deterrence capabilities. Washington refused to build a joint Russian-NATO anti-missile system to protect Russia, as suggested by Moscow."


According to Wikipedia,"Previously, a controversial initiative existed for placing GMD missile defense installations in Eastern Europe, namely in Poland and Czech Republic. As a result of strong Russian opposition, the plan has been abandoned in favor of Aegis-class missile defense based in the Black Sea and eventually in Romania.

In February 2007, the US started formal negotiations with Poland and Czech Republic concerning placement of a site of Ground-Based Midcourse Defense System.The announced objective was to protect most of Europe from long-range missile strikes from IranPublic opinion in both countries opposed: 57% of Poles disagreed, while 21% supported the plans; in Czech Republic it was 67% versus 15%. More than 130,000 Czechs signed a petition for a referendum about the base, which is by far the largest citizen initiative (Ne základnám - No to Bases) since the Velvet Revolution.

The Ustka-Wicko base of the Polish Army was mentioned as a possible site of 10 American interceptor missiles. Russia objected; its suspension of the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe may be related. Putin warned of a possible new Cold War. Russia threatened to place short-range nuclear missiles on its border with NATO if the United States refused to abandon the plan.

A radar and tracking system site placement was agreed with the Czech Republic. After long negotiations, on August 20 2008, US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Poland’s Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski signed in Warsaw the "Agreement Between the Government of the United States of America and the Government of the Republic of Poland Concerning the Deployment of Ground-Based Ballistic Missile Defense Interceptors in the Territory of the Republic of Poland",a deal that would implement the missile defense system in Polish territory. Russia warned Poland that it is exposing itself to attack—even a nuclear one—by accepting U.S. missile interceptors on its soil. Gen. Anatoly Nogovitsyn the deputy chief of staff of Russia's armed forces said "Poland, by deploying (the system) is exposing itself to a strike — 100 percent".

In September 2009, President Barack Obama announced that plans for missile defense sites in East Europe would be scrapped in favor of systems located on US Navy warships On September 18, 2009, Russian Prime Minister Putin decided to welcome Obama's plans for stationing American Aegis defense warships in the Black Sea.The deployment occurred the same month, consisting of warships equipped with the Aegis RIM-161 SM-3 missile system, which complements the Patriot missile systems already deployed by American units.

On February 4, 2010, Romania agreed to host the SM-3 missiles starting in 2015."

According to Marc Champion, Gregory L. White and Nathan Hodge "The U.S. said it can use data collected from a high-powered missile-defense radar in Turkey to help defend Israel or other non-European allies, which risks sparking a public backlash in Turkey. Turkey on Wednesday signed an agreement with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization to station a high-powered U.S. radar site on its territory, part of a missile-defense system to protect NATO allies from the threat of long-range rockets from Iran.
The deal was a culmination of months of negotiations that included a string of public demands from Turkey, including that real-time data from the so-called X-Band radar not be shared with Israel.
The deal assures NATO member Turkey that its territory will be fully covered by the defense system, as it had sought. It will also improve its status in NATO, and ensure it has influence over NATO missile-defense decisions and closer ties with the U.S., officials said.
But the U.S.'s refusal to rule out data-sharing with Israel risks adding strain to already-frayed relations, as Turkish politicians move to distance themselves from the Jewish state. Washington has been alarmed by the sharp deterioration in relations between Turkey and Israel, two of the U.S.'s most important allies in the Mideast region."(Wall Street Journal, 14 September)

According to Russian specialists, albeit Russia maintains its reserves,the way in which  the Obama administration is presently implementing the project is not so dangerous as anticipated before, because the system is really so low profile that it cannot constitute a danger for Russia for the next seven years.The problem that we see is that this projects creates barriers and disagreements between Europeans, because States like Poland, Romania and Turkey may decide autonomously so crucial questions without even consulting with other European States. What is the opposite of whichever European Foreign and Defence policy. 

 

 




SOKUROV'S VICTORY AT THE VENICE FILM FESTIVAL

Sokurov, a Real European Filmmaker
Сокуров, правдивы Европейский режиссер
Sokurov, un vero regista europeo 
Sokurov, un véritable cinéaste européen
Sokurov, ein wahrer europaeischer Regisseur











A very important event which has characterised the last week has been the award of the "Golden Lion", at the Venice film festival, for his film "Faust".

We have always thought that Sokurov is the only living "European" filmmaker, in the sense that he considers his task to make films which contribute to the definition of European Identity.

He can achieve this goal by  the most different means, from his  investigations about power and history, or through his debate with great characters of Russian culture, such as Solzhenitsin, Rostropovich and Galina Vishnevkaya. Sometimes, like in the case of Russian Arch, he has been confronted with the idea itself of a mutual cultyural exchange between Russia and Europe. As it is known, the Russian Arch portrays the Ermitage in Sankt-Petersburg as a connecting point between Western and Eastern, Ancient and new Europe, which the Great Catherine left in heritage to all of us, in order to preserve the core of European culture from the threats of history.

Sokurov is pessimist about the future of European (including Russian) culture:"Germans, French, Britons, Italians, tell me: we have money, but we have no ideas.But, then, form when did come Leonartdo da Vinci, Salinger, Remarque, Hemingway? Why have young people no ideas today?Why 90% of cameramen in Europe, who are women, carry heavy cameras?Why Faust is interesting for me, why it is for me a content of my life, why I go threough these  materials, and I devoted to it my whole life, whilst no German filmmaker took care of it?I talk with German journalists: 'Faust?How boring'.That's all."(Interview with Stas Tyrkin for Komsomolskaya Pravda za Rubezhom, 16-23 September 2011, page 25).

Certainly, we cannot share all the views of Sokurov about the future. He is worried by the alternative constituted by Islam.:"They will read and learn the Koran within a couple of years."And, further: "Certainly, the only waybrings to the Koran. An absolutely destructive, revolutionary way. Muslim youth is marked by energy, by the capability and the will to solve problems radically. Islam is complex. It is not a centralized culture. There is neither a Pope, nor a Patriarch, there is no center towards which people can focus for discussion. Islamic culture is dispersed, not unified. Therefore, it's impossible to come to an end with al-Qaida. The only alternative is to reinforce our culture, to stuck to it, to follow an evolutionary approach, to take care of the feelings of youth. No other way out, both for the European and for the Russian civilisation."."Albeit there are sacred books, which have given names to all things, there are, in our culture, deeply doubtful people. You cannot find this in the muslim or in the buddhistic world. There, an holistic world view prevails."


It is true that the lack of ideas by Europeans (and also Russians) favours the penetration of foreign cultures. However, first, we do't find that Islam is so different from Christianity, and, second, we do bot think that Europeans are so much ready to convert. According to us, the real danger, for Europe,an (and Russian) does not lie in Islam, which will have all its difficulties to affirm itself as aleading European religion, but, on the contrary, by the excesses of science and of technique, which are arising from mankind all characteristics which have traditionally brandmarked it.

Irrespective of what we think about the appropriatedness of these visions of Sokurov, he remains, for us, an example of a true, and engaged, European intellectual, who is not afraid to raise a debate, and  whose intellectual contribution we will be always obliged to take into account.

We have not  yet seen Sokurov's Faust (and it will take time to have it on the screens, even in Russia). From what we have read, it would appear that   he has tried precisely that task that we would like all European filmmakers to do, but that no one of them is undertaking, i.e., trying to revitalise the big classics of European renoun, through an updated reading, which stresses the pan-european character of those masterpieces. Fuast is one of those masterpieces which have a "transversal" meaning. for all peoples of Europe and for the most different mindsets (classic and romantic, modern and postmodern).

Moreover, Sokurov has pursued the above objectives precisely in the way we would have expected: he has produced his film in German, with a Pan-European cast, working in the Czech Republic and in Iceland.

Sakurov's victory has been achieved at the unanimity of the Jury, against films which are rather inspired to the mainstream of commercial production. The Jury has chosen, by this way, the traditional European way of "upper culture" production.

Now, the challenge is to follow up this achievement, studying Sokurov's works and drawing, from it, lessons for the future of European culture and arts.

It is not said that we share always Sokurov's points of view. So, for instance,,

So,let's wait anxiously fo the opportunity of seeing the film.

Thursday, September 15, 2011

RUSSIA AS A VANGUARD OF EUROPE



Ambassador Rogozin

Reply to Dmitri Rogozin's Article on  Russia and Europe
Ответ на статью Дмитрия Рогозина об отношениях между Россией и Европой 
Risposta all' articolo di Dmitri Rogozin sui rapporti fra Russia ed Europa
Réponse à l'article  de Dmitri Rogozin sur les rapports entre la Russie et l'Europe
Antwort zu Dmitri Rogozins Artikel ueber Russland und Europa


The article of His Excellence Dmitry Rogozin "Repeating the abduction of Europe (in http://natomission.ru/en/society/article/society/artnews/42/) touches some themes which are at the center of my blog http://www.europestwolongs.blogspot.com, with a freedom of judgment which is appreciable in a diplomat.
Although we completely subscribe to the central thesis of Mr. Rogozin, i.e., that “juxtaposing Europe and Russia” amounts to “a profound delusion and misinterpreting the whole is blind to history”, we have some precisions to add as to certain aspects of the mutual relationships of these two areas, which are dealt with in details in our blog.

1.Europe, the West and the South
I remark preliminary that the Straights of Bering and even Vladivostok are much more “eastern” than Indonesia proper and the island of Moro in the Philippines, the more Eastern countries of Islamic Faith, and that Senegal and Morocco, the most Western parts of Islam, are more “Western” than Iceland and Portugal.
In practice, the “West” is in reality just the North of the Planet, and both Europe and Russia, but also the United States and Canada, belong to it. At its turn, the Islamic town of Kazan is on the same parallel of Moscow, Edinburgh and Belfast, i. es., more “Northern” than Berlin, Paris, London and Brussels. So, one has to be cautions in utilizing geographic metaphors for designating cultural identities.
The latter may be traced, and even with difficulty, thanks to historical, philosophical and political concepts, more than to geographic ones.
Personally, I find that “Western Civilizations” are characterized first of all by their common descent from the Old Testament; hence, they include both Islam and Western Secularism, but all of them differ from the “Eastern” traditions of San Jião and from the “Southern” traditions of animism and pantheism.
Within this broad “Western Cultural Area” there is a “tighter” “circle”of “European” culture, which is characterized by the acceptance of the continuity of the Roman tradition, through the “Translatio Imperî” via the “Three Romes”; hence, Western Europe, Russia and Turkey, whilst the USA, the Shiite Islamic countries and Israel do not want to pertain to this “core Europe”, because they reject a legitimization through the theory of the “Three Romes”, seeking their own, messianic, forms of historical legitimation.

2.Russia in Europe
The whole of my blog is devoted to void the prejudice, which His Excellence very appropriately calls “Repeating the abduction of Europe”, according to which Europe and Russia are “completely distinct civilizations with manifestly dissimilar values”.
My blog tries to demonstrate this point of view by dealing with a lot of specific historical and cultural phases, where the role of Russia and of Europe is absolutely interchangeable (migrations of the peoples, Eastern and Græco-Roman influences, Absolutism, Enlightenment, European Federalism, Romanticism, Nationalism, Marxism, a s.o.).I hope that my objective has been achieved, since statistics show that a growing number of readers oall over Europe are following attentively my posts.
3.West and South
According to my point of view, the “South” of the World should not encompass Islam, which is so similar to Europe that many if the characteristics of Europe came even from it. When young, the present Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan used to say that, should all Europeans convert to Islam, nobody would even perceive a difference.
Let’s mention the objective of the unification of the World which was anticipated in Dante’s idea of the Christian Empire, but whose model was the Caliphate; the main features of Catholic and Evangelic theologies (aristotelism, averroism, thomism); the national characters of Spain, Southern Italy and the Balcanic States (besides the ones of many Republics of the Russian Federation) which are deeply impressed by mysticism, Islamic architecture and Arabic or Turkish linguistics.
It is true that Islam participates, today, to an external pressure exerted on “the West” by other parts of the World, for changing the  present cultural and political balance of the same. However, this pressure does not come, primarily, from Islam, which is partially “internal” to the West, and is also politically weak, but, rather, from the Far East. The changes which will likely derive from these pressures are an open question, that needs to be addressed attentively by public opinions, intellectuals and authorities. However, some form of change is needed in Europe’s best interest, because the present balance of the West is too much unbalanced Westwards, so that many “typically European” values, like spirituality, culture, excellence, are sacrificed to performance, economy, technology, profit, and this leads to that overall cultural crisis of Western Europe that the Ambassador correctly denounces.
Such balance shift would not not mean, according to us, a demise of the European Identity, but, on the contrary, the re-discovery of its most deep-rooted origins, which include the ancient Middle East, the Peoples of the Steppes, the Arab Philosophy as well as the heritage of the German, Russian, Austrian and Ottoman Empires.
According to us, a Europe which would become more “Eastern and Southern” will be much nearer to Russia than the Europe of today. At the end of the day, the Polovcy of the Slovo o Polku Igoreva, the Khazars,the Shagané, Hadji Murad, Chakovskij and Diagilev are  an integral  part of  Russian Culture, in the same way as Averroes, Suleiman the Magnificent and Orhan Pamuk are full-fledged Europeans.

4.The Role of Russia
We agree that, so as his Excellence affirms,  Russia is exercising already now a role as a guardian of European culture. That role was expressed very appropriately, in his times, by Tjutchev, by his expression “the Russian Arch”, which has been utilized again by Sokurov, for his film bearing the same name. This expression means that Russia has absorbed so much the culture of Europe, that it is in a condition to preserve such culture inside itself even in these times, when it risks to be overwhelmed by globalization.
However, it is globalization, not “the South”, that endangers Europe’s culture and future.
As outlined in our blog, we recognise a certain  well-groundedness in the idea that Europe is culturally in decadence, and Russia is in the side of the future. This idea has not been invented either by Russian nationalists, nor by the newly born Russian Federation, but, on the contrary, has been a constant theme for a large part of European intelligencija, from Križanić to Kühlmann, from Leibniz to Herder, from Von Baader to Krüdener, from De Maistre to Nietzsche.
In the present days’ turmoil of the European Union, Russia is indeed the sole country with a clear cut vision for the future of the whole Continent, and having the means for implementing it.
However, this extraordinary opportunity, that Russia presently has, could be jeopardized easily, as it happened after the Congress of Vienna, when Russia did not succeed to have its proposals about the nature of the Holy Alliance endorsed  by Austria and England, and this brought about a continuous conflict between Great Powers and nationalities.
Joseph De Maistre, author of “Les Soirees de St. Petersburg”, whilst leaving his long-term assignment as the Ambassador in Russia of the Kingdom of Sardinia, affirmed: Russia could have done so much for Europe but has done nothing”.
For being able to exploit the present opportunities, both Russia and Europe should focus much more on the study of their cultural traditions and on the ways in which they could foster cooperation alongside such traditions.

5.From the Atlantic to Urals
It is also true that today De Gaulle’s slogan is outdated. First of all, De Gaulle left the power more than 40 years ago, and the world has changed dramatically, emphasizing large distances and brood spaces.
Secondly, he was, unfortunately, no more successful, in implementing his vision, than Tsar Aleksandr 1st in implementing his one.
It goes without saying that Russia is not limited to Urals, but includes also Siberia, Donji Vostok and a lot of Asiatic Republics.
A project for a really united Europe should have a consideration also for the future of such territories.
It is also true that Russia is doing very much in Siberia, and the visit of Nr. Barroso and Mr. Solana in Khabarovsk should have been very instructive for them under this point of view.
It is true, finally, that economic cooperation with West Europeans for Siberia will be the best way for assuring the European character of that area. Very good examples exist, such as the collaboration with the Italian Alenia and Pininfarina, for the production, in Komsomolsk na Amure, of the “Sukhoi Superjet 100”. However, long term problems for Siberia exist, and they should become an item of Euro-Russian discussions.

6.Operational suggestions
We hope that the article of Mr. Rogozin will be useful for persuading diplomatic, political and cultural circles, that a further reflection on the theme of the cultural interrelationships between Russia and Europe is urgent, for being able to lay the grounds of a necessary cooperation between the two areas in many and many fields.
Our blog cited above is a first tentative to find a ground where, by the utilization of modern technologies, Europeans of the East  and of the West may discuss about their common problems.
We would be happy to have also the Ambassador Rogozin and other Russian diplomats on our pages.