Showing posts with label Warsaw Pact. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Warsaw Pact. Show all posts

Thursday, July 28, 2011

RUSSIA DISAPPOINTED BY AMERICA

 From the fall of USSR to the II Afghan war
 из распада СССР до II Афганской войне
 Dalla caduta dell'URSS alla II Guerra dell' Afganistan
 De la chute de l'URSS à la II Guerre d'Afganistan
 Seit dem Fall der UdSR bis zum zweiten afganischen Krieg







Since Europe had not allowed for a long time  (1989-2004) East Europeans to enter  the Union , during the meantime the latter   cared much more the relationships with the US and with  NATO, with whom things seemed to go on much faster.
This gave rise to a new problem. Thanks to the adhesion to NATO of many East European countries, the American Army was moving nearer and nearer to the core of Russia, what ran contrary to the deepest rooted requirements of any Russian government, as well as to the informal agreements reached when the Soviet Union withdraw the Red Army from Eastern Europe. Throughout the centuries, Russia has accumulated a series of strategic convictions, focussed on the idea that its territory is very exposed to foreign attacks, and that, therefore, a series of precautions have to be taken. Historical experience, including Mongol, Tatar, Polish, Swedish, French, German, British, American, Japanese and  Czech, invasions, have  shown that this is not just paranoia, but a matter of fact.

The first of these precautions had been the one  to have, if not satellites, at least friendly or neutral states, surrounding Russia's borders. Such States had been, over the centuries, the Cossack Republics, Finland, Poland, Persia,  the Muslim Emirates, Sweden, Austria, Afganistan,  Belarus, Ukraine, Caucasus, Outer Mongolia,   the Warsaw Pact States,Yugoslavia, North Korea, Syria, a.s.o.. Now, if precisely some of those states host the military bases of Russia’s most likely military foes, all security of the country vanishes, and Russia must devote a larger and larger part of its resources to a continuous preparation for war. By the way, Gorbatschev mantains that he had been persuaded, by Americans, that this would not have happened if he had withdrawn his troups. Now, at the contrary, it is precisely what was happening. Russia felt encircled and threatened, in a period in which many other countris started to feel  desillusioned by America.

After World War II, America had presented herself as a “status quo power”, which had helped the entire world to repeal the attack of Nazism, and which would have been ready to go on helping everybody to repeal communism (two “revolutionary” forces), precisely because they were aggressive worldwide movements that threatened the peaceful life and the independence of the peoples. The USA  were   very attentive, in that period,  not to give  to anybody the impression to be, themselves, a “revolutionary” power,  which would have been  kin  to aggress foreign nations for ideological reasons, i.e. for imposing, onto them, certain political principles and/or  military alliances. This “neutral” attitude of the USA seemed  confirmed, at that time, by the fact that America was friendly not just  with Western-style democracies, but also with a set of completely different States, such as Maoist China, Hiberian  and South American fascist dictatorships, Islamic kingdoms and republics and any other kind of regimes all over the world.

Unfortunately, as soon as the Soviet “threat” disappeared, the attitude of America started to change. America started waging wars against several States (Iraq, Serbia, Afghanistan) purportedly for curbing their violations of international law, but, substantially,  but just because their political orientations or their strategical interests conflicted with the ones of the USA.

Among  the  States which were obliged to reconsider their relationships with America, there were, in first instance, Russia and China, but also France and Germany had serious reasons of disagreement.
Moreover, the West had also promised to help economically Russia to overcome the impending economic crisis, but this did not succeeed. 

The history of foreign relationships of Russia during the Eltzin period is  complex. At the beginning, Eltzin and his followers acted according to what has been called “political romanticism”. They had believed seriously what Americans and Europeans had told Gorbatschev during the Perestrojka period - i.e. that they were enchanted that Russians were making their own reforms and freeing their “satellites”, that Europe and the West were part of a great brotherhood, and that, once Russia would have followed the Western schemes, it would become very rich and very influential worldwide, inside this large brotherhood-.

So, Eltzin and his government retired completely their troops from the former “satellites”, and, partially, also from the former Soviet Republics; they reduced drastically military expenditures; they accepted foreign consultants for transforming Russia’s economy; they decentralized power to the regions and to autonomous Republics and Provinces.

The result of all that was that the economy got worse and worse, causing a dramatical fall in the standards of living, and even in life expectation; uprisings took place in Chechnya and the neighbouring territories;  civil wars exploded in Georgia,  Moldova and former Yugoslavia; Russians and their Serb allies were obliged to flee by millions from certain  Republics; Russia-friendly autonomous Republics, such as Abkhasia, Ossetia or Transnistria, were exposed to assaults by their former "titular" nationalities; millions of immigrants arrived in Russia from former Soviet Republics.

At that moment, Eltzin was obliged to reconsider, at least partially, his policy, slowing down privatizations and  fighting youghly  in Chechnya and in Moldova. The results of all that remained modest. The economy got worse and worse,  oligarchs started to grab larger and larger slices  of national finance and strategic industries, and Russia was obliged to grant some form of independence to Chechnya.

In the last period of Eltzin’s Government, the situation became even worse.  Oligarchs had started transferring abroad their shares in strategic public companies, including defense and gas, and wahhabite guerrillas, not satisfied with the independence of Chechnya, used the latter as a basis for attacking other Republics. Last, but not least, NATO attacked Serbia, an old friend of Russia, for helping Kosovo Albanians, and Eltzin was obliged to send some tenths of tanks to Kosovo for protecting ethnic Serbs.
Bombing Serbia was a very tragic experience for many Europeans, which had dreamed that, with 1989, all of Europe should had become only one country, and, now, saw themselves obliged, on the contrary,  to participate in shelling a Central European capital.
All of that lead to a change in the official and people's view of America, from a model to imitate and an ally to rely on , to a hostile power, erodingv the sovereignty, the unity, the riches and the development prospects of Russia.

What appears suspicious is that, when the Soviet Union was the State which lied the farthest from the American way of life (a party dictatorship, a State-Owned economy, a military bloc covering one half of the Globe), the USA had no difficulty in dealing with the USSR, but, since Russia has adopted democracy and free market,an has withdrawn the former Soviet troops, it has started to be considered suspect and anti-democratic.And, paradoxically, this is increased since Russia has been able to recover its economic and political strength.
Now, with the tentative Perezagruzka, this impression could vanish. However, the present difficulties in founding a joint solution for the problem of anti-ballistic missiles risks to reinvigorate mutual diffidence. 

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

FEDERATION, UNION, MARKET,COMMUNITY

NATO and Warsaw Pact

 



Russian and  European Terminologies Overlapping

Русская и Европейская терминологии совпадают

Le terminologie russa ed Europea si sovrappongono

Les terminologies russe et européennes se juxtaposent 

Die russische und die Europaeische prallen zusammen 

 

 

1.Heritages of the blocks

Somebody  has pretended that the Communist block arisen in Europe after World War II (or the Soviet Union itself) constituted a sort of anticipation of present days European Union .In fact, Evgenij Primakov has called it “European Union n. I”. It is not a secret that Primakov is favourable to the accessoion of Russia into the European Union.We could say that institutions like the Warsaw Pact and the Comecon were created just for contradicting NATO and Common Market, but were based on the same idea of the latter, i.e. as an ideological, and non continental, block. From another point of view, albeit we maintain our persuasion that the very core of the European project is not an ideologic, but a geopolitical issue, we admit that somebody could suggest that also the European Union was an ideologic reality, arisen out of a “Western” agenda.Notwithstanding all of the foregoing, the fact so large parts of Europe have lived within for a so long period within the framework of the same system, and with the same - logical, theoretical, political - patterns, has contributed to the creation of a more widespread “common language”. It has also to be said that what is common of this language has been often also the one of nationalities and of conflicts, and that is used now for dividing Europeans (Republics against Russians, Albanians against Serbs, Armenians against Azeris). However, there is at least a common legal and organizational style and a common sociological typology, which is not completely useless in absolute, and could ever constitute a working tool for European politicians willing to really cope with problems like continental cooperation and curing the excess of national suprematisms. 

  Unfortunately, many of the positive aspects of the former East European sovrannational organizations, as, for instance, the attention to long lasting economic cooperation, are no more perceivable in the area. Another aspect of the former East Block States is, paradoxically, the loss influence of those movements of “dissent” which, for a certain period, seemed to be a common element for all Central and Eastern European societies. It is true that these movements were weak, without a common ground, and too much depending on foreign influence. So that it is easy to explain why, after the Fall of the Berlin Wall, they disappeared, leaving space to very Western-type parties and ideologies. Even intellectuals, like Kadaré or Havel, who had widespread, in the past, a culturalist, national and elitist message, changed dramatically their messages after the fall of the Wall, homologating it to the requirements of the West, and forgetting the national particularities which had rendered live the same messages. Only Sol’zenitzin did not rally with this trend and continued, also after the fall of Communism, to defend its own patriotic and Christian point of view.

 Paradoxically, only certain authors which, at the end, were, at least partially ,integrated into the system, like, for instance, Wajda, Lem,Zanussi,Sol'zhenitsin,Kusturica,TarkovskiKolakowski, Kieszlowski, succeeded, thanks to the gaps of the old system,  to create, in the Eastern Block,during  the transition period, "classical" works which denoted a total distance both from the Marxist ideology, and from the economicist Western world, especially in cinematography (Andrej Rubljov, Sol’aris, Stalker,Lotna, Kalwaria Polska, Dekalog, Otac je u delovim put, Slike ot zhivota udarnika) .

2. Europe, a Federation of Empires
Coming to the merits of Primakov’s contention, we cannot deny that both the Soviet Union and the European Union have been the heirs of the same political thinking, which, as the outcome of a century-old federalist tradition, had reclaimed the reconstruction of a general European order in substitution of the Roman Empire. The idea itself of the “Third Rome” was originated, in last instance, by the necessity of a succession to the Constantinian Tetrarchy, which had been the first case of general political organization of Christian Europe. This tradition went on through Bohemia, France and Germany during the 15th, 16th, 17th and 18th Centuries.
The best known of these project, the “Projet de Paix Perpetuelle” of St. Pierre, included Russia (and, initially,also  the Ottoman Empire) in the new European Organization, which should have guaranteed peace for two whole of Europe.
Also the “Greek Project” (for the Greeks, “i Megàli Idèa”) was intended, by Leibniz, as the unification of the whole of Europe, alongside the model of the Qin Empire in China. Then, the “Russian” version of the Holy Alliance spoke of a “Europe of the Peoples”.
Also at the moment of creating the Soviet Union, Bolsheviks took inspiration from the teaching of “Austro-Marxists”, who, in their turn, draw their inspiration from the constitutional traditions of the late Ottoman, Austrian and German Empires, which had known large forms of federalism, such as the one of the German States inside the 2nd Reich, the “compromise” between Austria and Hungary, as well as the representation of Nationalities (Milletler) at the Ottoman Empire’s level.
But also Coudenhove-Kalergi, the Greek-Czech-Austrian founder of “Paneuropa” was inspired by the Austria’s constitutional tradition.

1.Federation/Federacija; Market/Rynok;Community/Soobscestvo; Union/Sojuz.
Even the terminologies utilized were similar: “Soviet Union” and “European Union”; “Common Market” and “Eurasiatic Market”; “European Communities” and “Community of Independent States”; “Russian Federation” and “European Federation”.
The matter is too complex for being dealt with here in a comprehensive manner. It may be sufficient to take note of some fundamental aspects.
First of all, all these terminologies cover very different realities, some of them being extinct, others still leaving, some having remained at the stage of a draft, others presently under completion. Some of them were centralized and despotic to the maximum extent, others were, or are, extremely loose.
Finally, all of these concepts and realities changed without interruption over the time: the Russian Sovietic Republic became the Soviet Union, which, at its turn, gave rise to the Russian Federation and to the Community of Independent States, where, today, some Republics, like Russia, Belarus and Kazakhistan, would like to create a Eurasiatic Common Market. Reversals, the European Communities have been transformed, present days, into European Union.
So, even taking into account the specificities of each institution and of each specific moment of time and political situation, all these similarities means that we are not just utilizing the same wordings, but we are confronted with the same type of problems. This will probably bring us again to face these problems with a common approach.